By ADRIAN LOWCOCK 19/05/2009
As was widely expected, Marks and Spencer cut their dividend today and they are unlikely to be the last company to do so this year. Indeed, as the recession bites into the main economy, dividends during 2009 will fall.
There are some sectors which are defensive in nature and should provide some security to investors, protecting them from the bulk of the falls. These include utilities, pharmaceuticals, oil and tobacco. However, during the last recession in the 1990s, it was only pharmaceuticals that didn’t cut their dividends. This time around the recession is expected to be much deeper and last for longer so it would be prudent to expect a similar
situation.
Company dividend yields are based on historic figures and not current earnings. It is therefore difficult to identify which companies are going to continue paying their dividend.
What action can you take?
To protect against individual companies cutting their dividends investors can look to spread their risk by investing in funds. Furthermore investors should look to obtain income from a variety of sources to provide additional protection and security.
Equity income funds
If you invest in a managed fund with an income objective, unlike a single company’s
shares, you are investing in the managers’ skills and research capabilities to identify and
buy those companies who are least likely to cut their dividend. Managed funds can also
invest in companies that the manager feels are undervalued and offer exceptional income
opportunities at current market prices.
Bestinvest recommendations
Corporate bonds
For income seekers, equities and the dividends that they pay might be too volatile. Corporate bonds are a traditionally less volatile asset class, which basically locks into a yield at the point of investment - corporate bond funds invest in company debt. With these funds, the yield can change as the manager moves from one bond to another. However, the market is very efficient and less erratic than equities, providing greater
certainty and stability at the expense of long term growth.
Bestinvest recommendations
Enhanced income funds
With cash deposit rates falling to zero and even some high income accounts offering a
disappointing 0.1%, fund managers have recently been launching enhanced income funds. These
take advantage of the UCITS III Directive allowing managers to use some derivative tools to
enhance returns. Some managers use this to write options and sell them for a premium, using
the income generated to boost the yield of the fund. The increase in risk (of the option
being called) is minimised by the fund already owning the shares the options are written
against. This also impacts upon the growth potential of the fund. Investors sacrifice
growth for income.
Bestinvest recommendation
*Source: Lipper. Yields are as at 18th May 2009 and are based on a 12 month average.