Eurozone inflation ticks higher as expected in February

15 March 2019

(Sharecast News) - Inflation in the eurozone rose as expected in February, according to data released by Eurostat on Friday.
Inflation came in at 1.5%, up from 1.4% the month before, in line with the initial estimate and consensus.

Meanwhile, the core rate slipped to 1% last month from 1.1% in January, also in line with the initial estimate and consensus expectations.

Energy and food and alcohol and tobacco inflation were the main drivers behind the increase, at 3.6% and 2.3%, respectively.

Claus Vistesen, chief eurozone economist at <em>Pantheon Macroeconomics</em>, said this was "the calm before the dreaded Easter volatility" in March and April.

"Base effects in oil prices suggest that energy inflation will increase a bit further this month, before easing through the summer. Inflation in food, alcohol and tobacco, however, will dip as base effects from last year's one-off tax hike on tobacco in France are eliminated.

"The core rate was held back by a 0.2 percentage points in services inflation, to 1.4%, while inflation in non-energy goods edged higher to 0.4%, from 0.3% in January. Leading indicators suggest that the trend in core inflation should be rising, but the next few months will be tainted by the dreaded Easter effect. The core rate likely will be severely depressed in March, before a big rebound in April."

Annual inflation in the European Union rose to 1.6% in February from 1.5% the month before.